Showing posts with label GLP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GLP. Show all posts

14 July 2017

GLP picks Chinese consortium for final buyout talks



Global Logistic Properties, the Singapore warehouse operator pursuing a sale, has picked a Chinese bidder consortium for final talks on a deal valuing the company at about US$10 billion (S$13.8 billion), people with knowledge of the matter said.
The investor group, fronted by GLP chief executive officer Ming Mei, edged out a rival consortium led by Warburg Pincus, according to the people.
The Chinese consortium, which includes private equity firms Hillhouse Capital Management and Hopu Investment Management, is planning to offer around $3 a share for GLP and will now negotiate definitive terms for the deal, the people said, asking not to be identified because the information is private.
Under the deal being contemplated, GLP would be taken private through a scheme of arrangement, the people said.
The Chinese investor group will seek to obtain an undertaking from Singapore sovereign fund GIC, which owns about 37 per cent of the company, to vote in favour of the offer, the people said.
The 3.875 per cent notes of GLP due in 2025 climbed 1.2 cents on the dollar to 97.1 cents as of 12.30pm local time yesterday, according to Bloomberg-compiled prices, the biggest jump in four weeks.
GLP is nearing the end of a months-long sale process that has faced bidder complaints that the management group has an advantage with privileged access to information.
If an agreement is reached, the purchase of GLP would become the largest private equity buyout of an Asian company by enterprise value, surpassing last year's takeover of Qihoo 360 Technology, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
"The market views the possible winner more favourably than the rivals, in the sense that there is continuity, familiarity and less disruption to the business," Mr Ezien Hoo, a credit analyst at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp said. "Whether the new owner will load GLP with more debt remains to be seen."
Shares of GLP have surged 43 per cent over the past year, giving it a market value of about $12.7 billion. It was the best performer during the period on Singapore's benchmark Straits Times Index, which gained 11 per cent.
The company was halted from trading its stock yesterday, pending an announcement.
China Vanke, one of the country's largest residential developers, is a member of the management- backed consortium, according to the people.
Ping An Insurance Group of China, which previously held talks about partnering with the Chinese investors, did not end up joining the deal, the people said.
E-commerce companies such as Alibaba Group Holding and JD.com are driving a boom in demand for warehouse space in Asia.
"Warehouses in Asia is a fast- growing sector that attracts a lot of interest," Mr Greg Hyland, head of capital markets at Jones Lang LaSalle, said.
"There's a substantial undersupply of modern logistics in China, so we are seeing a lot of growth there."
BLOOMBERG

06 December 2016

SP: Global Logistic Properties (GLP SP) : Strategic Review Of Business Options

Global Logistic Properties (GLP SP)   BUY

Strategic Review of Business Options


What’s New?
  • Undertaking strategic review of options for its business upon GIC's request. GLP announced last night that following GIC's request, it has appointed J.P Morgan as its financial adviser to make preliminary approaches to various parties on viable business options as part of the review. GLP's announcement was prompted by Bloomberg, which reported that JPMorgan was tapped by GLP to carry out a review after attracting takeover interest from a consortium of investors (China investment Corp, Hopu Investment and Hillhouse Capital).
  • GLP, however, has stated that no definitive transaction has been entered into with any party (including the consortium mentioned by Bloomberg) just yet. As such, no assurance can be made on a transaction materialising from the strategic review.
Our Take
  • A takeover bid would be unsurprising given GLP's compelling valuations, trading at 33% discount to our RNAV of S$3.06. Additionally,  long-term investors would likely be viewing the scalability of the fund management business over the next 5-10 years, which in our opinion, could expand valuations to S$4.25 (Initiation Report). We also note major shareholder GIC’s recent solo S$3.7b purchase of a European warehouse portfolio, which  could have resulted in GLP being a leading warehouse player in Europe if it had participated in the deal (GLP’s CEO Ming Z Mei has repeatedly expressed his interest in Europe). GIC (37% stake in GLP) deciding to forge ahead with the Europe acquisition without GLP, could hint at other corporate strategies supplanting further geographic diversification.
  • Alleged Chinese government curbs  on overseas investment.. A separate document seen by the South China Morning Post said to be the minutes of a central bank meeting on cross-border capital controls, said that from now until September of next year, Beijing would ban: deals involving investment of more than US$10 billion; mergers and acquisitions valued at more than US$1 billion outside a Chinese investor’s core business; and foreign real estate deals by state-owned enterprises involving more than US$1 billion.
  • ..Though impact on a potential privatisation is unclear. While the abovementioned investor consortium include Chinese firms like China Investment Corp (SOE firm)  and Hopu, we note that the Chinese government could be less inclined to view the potential privatisation as a "foreign investment". As China logistics assets form 56% of GLP's NAV, the Chinese authorities could see GLP's potential privatisation as a strategic move for further control of domestic assets (both CIC and Hopu are either partners in GLP's fund management business or hold a significant stake in its China assets).
Valuation. We have a BUY recommendation on GLP  with a target price S$2.40, pegged to a  22% discount to our RNAV of S$3.06.
Bloomberg's Reported Potential Consortium Investors







Relationship with GLP
Hillhouse Capital Management 8% stake in GLP
China Investment Corp Partner in GLP Japan Income Partners I and GLP Brazil Income Partners I
Hopu Investment Management Part of China Consortium (31% stake in GLP’s China assets)

source: Bloomberg, UOB KH

This transmission has been issued by a member of the UOB Kay Hian Group for the information of the addressee only and should not be reproduced and/or distributed to any other person. Each page attached hereto must be read in conjunction with any disclaimer which forms part of it. Unless otherwise stated, this transmission is neither an offer nor the solicitation of an offer to sell or purchase any investment. Its comments are based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but UOB Kay Hian Group makes no representations and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its completeness or accuracy.





24 November 2016

Global Logistic Properties (GLP SP) : Metamorphosis Into A Global Fund Manager


INITIATE COVERAGE

Global Logistic Properties (GLP SP)

Buy | Price/Tgt: S$2.01/S$2.40 | Mkt Cap: S$9,350.6m

Metamorphosis Into A Global Fund Manager


GLP is a fund manager, developer and owner-operator of modern logistics facilities. As of 30 Sep 16, GLP owned and operated a global portfolio of 52m sqm (560m sf) that caters primarily to domestic consumption. GLP’s US$39b fund management platform is a key area of growth going forward.
·        Initiate with BUY and a target price of S$2.40, pegged to a 22% discount (in line with historical discount to our RNAV of S$3.06). We adopt a conservative RNAV based-valuation methodology instead of a riskier EV/AUM approach with a long gestation period of 5-10 years.
·        Transformation into an asset-light model could see valuation expand to S$4.25/share, based on an EV/AUM of 0.48x (in line with that of fund management peers). Global Logistic Properties (GLP) could further unlock value by setting up income funds/REITs to monetise its China and Japan assets. We estimate that the monetisation of GLP’s assets in China and Japan could be deployed to grow the AUM by another US$30.8b over the next 5-10 years (8.3% CAGR). Recall that GLP developed the AUM business from the ground up to nearly US$38b (US$27b invested) in five years.
·        Attractive 43% discount even after pricing in a takeover premium of 20%. A takeover bid would be unsurprising to a long-term investor given the abovementioned scalability of the fund management business. GLP has clarified that it was not in talks with the consortium (Hillhouse Capital, China Investment and Hopu Investment) mentioned in recent media articles. However, we would not dismiss either a privatisation bid or a scheme of arrangement (a la ARA Asset Management) given major shareholder GIC’s recent S$3.7b purchase of a European portfolio, a geography where GLP has been alluding to expanding into as part of its diversification strategy.
·        Continued demand for modern logistics space in China from e-commerce players. We expect e-commerce growth to continue underpinning demand for modern logistics facilities in China, where such tenants account for 25% of GLP’s leased area. iResearch estimates China’s online shopping market would grow at a CAGR of nearly 23% in 2016-18, outpacing the US’ e-commerce growth of 12% (emarketer.com estimate). Moreover, existing logistics facilities in China largely fail to meet modern requirements, with 70% built before 1990. Thus, oversupply concerns may be overstated in the face of pent-up demand. China is GLP’s largest market, accounting for 56% of book value.
·        Near-term China supply fears could be overblown. Investor concerns have centred on the oversupply of logistics space in China, particularly in secondary cities like Shenyang. We note that secondary cities account for only 11% of GLP’s total exposure to China. With market leader GLP limiting its development activities in these markets, its peers have started to follow suit, and management believes the situation will stabilise over the next 12 months.
//amazon